LARRams
5-4
17
TBD
New Era Field
50°F
10 mph
37
BUFBills
3-6
TBD
New Era Field
50°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
10
7
0
0
17
Bills
0
17
14
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
270
294
Total Plays
71
51
Yards / Play
3.8
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.08
Passing Yards
235
175
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.06
Rushing Yards
35
119
Rush Attempts
20
26
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.44
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
33%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
40%
43%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-17.77
-4.83
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-52
-10
Sack EPA
-11.06
-2.43
Penalties
11
14
Penalty Yards
84
108
Penalty EPA
-4.96
-14.79
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
8
Yards / Game
6
2
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
27
6
EPA
EPA / Play
16
1
EPA / Pass
11
2
EPA / Rush
5
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
13
Interceptions / Game
27
2
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
13
4th Down Efficiency
2
30
RZ Efficiency
18
4
Bills Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
28
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
17
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
20
27
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
25
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
18
24
Turnover EPA / Game
14
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
26
RZ Efficiency
28
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U