LARRams
5-7
10
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
38°F
12 mph
49
KCChiefs
6-6
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
38°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
10
0
0
0
10
Chiefs
8
15
0
14
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
202
293
Total Plays
59
54
Yards / Play
3.4
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.45
+0.23
Passing Yards
169
113
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
11/16(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.41
+0.31
Rushing Yards
33
180
Rush Attempts
17
37
Yards / Rush
1.9
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.39
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
16
7
Rushing 1st downs
--
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
8
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-17.68
--
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-49
-3
Sack EPA
-17.76
-0.94
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
40
--
Penalty EPA
-3.06
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
28
Yards / Game
10
32
Passing Yards / Game
4
31
Rushing Yards / Game
30
25
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
20
27
EPA / Rush
29
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
32
12
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
23
RZ Efficiency
12
15
Chiefs Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
22
Yards / Game
4
10
Passing Yards / Game
15
18
Rushing Yards / Game
3
15
EPA
EPA / Play
1
11
EPA / Pass
1
18
EPA / Rush
1
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
5
Interceptions / Game
7
24
Fumbles / Game
1
11
Turnover EPA / Game
32
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U