LARRams
8-5
21
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
044
DALCowboys
6-7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
0
14
21
Cowboys
7
21
3
13
44
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
475
Total Plays
70
68
Yards / Play
4.2
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.40
Passing Yards
267
--
Comp/Att
34/53(64%)
15/23(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.33
Rushing Yards
24
263
Rush Attempts
15
45
Yards / Rush
1.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
25
Passing 1st downs
17
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
16
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
33%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.18
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-22
--
Sack EPA
-4.55
--
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
29
--
Penalty EPA
-4.37
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model47.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+43
Home nfelo
1,561
Away nfelo
1,592
Home Field
+55.3
Base HFA
+47.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.5
Time Adj
-8.4
Net QB Adjustment
+18.4
Home QB Adjustment
+20.3
Away QB Adjustment
+2.0
Market Regression
-50.4
Final Difference
15.0
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+20.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
26
22
Rushing Yards / Game
26
10
EPA
EPA / Play
15
12
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
28
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
31
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
10
12
Turnover EPA / Game
8
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
3
4th Down Efficiency
31
12
RZ Efficiency
6
6
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
17
Yards / Game
1
14
Passing Yards / Game
6
19
Rushing Yards / Game
4
18
EPA
EPA / Play
3
10
EPA / Pass
3
12
EPA / Rush
3
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
24
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
17
4th Down Efficiency
20
25
RZ Efficiency
16
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U