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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ falcons week 2, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAR logo
LARRams
1-0
17
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0
34
ATLFalcons
1-0
ATL logo
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
10
0
17
Falcons
7
10
0
11
28

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Falcons logo
Total Yards
280
416
Total Plays
51
58
Yards / Play
5.5
7.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.22
Passing Yards
250
174
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
14/19(74%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.10
Rushing Yards
30
242
Rush Attempts
15
38
Yards / Rush
2.0
6.4
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.28
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Falcons logo
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Falcons logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.83
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-35
-5
Sack EPA
-11.67
-1.38
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
--
51
Penalty EPA
--
-3.25

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Rams logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
18
14
Yards / Game
6
15
Passing Yards / Game
3
14
Rushing Yards / Game
27
9

EPA

EPA / Play
16
13
EPA / Pass
11
15
EPA / Rush
5
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
7
Interceptions / Game
27
12
Fumbles / Game
28
13
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Falcons logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
14
28
Yards / Game
20
23
Passing Yards / Game
28
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
31

EPA

EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
30
22
EPA / Rush
2
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
2
Interceptions / Game
13
32
Fumbles / Game
25
24
Turnover EPA / Game
17
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
6
26
RZ Efficiency
12
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/09
11
W
W
P
11/16
2
W
L
P
11/23
3
W
L
P
11/30
31
W
W
P
12/08
6
W
W
P
12/14
5
W
L
P
12/21
17
W
W
P
12/28
-10
L
L
P
01/10
-6
L
L
P
09/12
7
W
L
P
ATL logo

Falcons

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/02
-7
L
L
P
11/09
20
W
W
P
11/16
-3
L
W
P
11/23
-7
L
L
P
11/30
-4
L
L
P
12/07
6
W
W
P
12/14
-31
L
L
P
12/20
2
W
W
P
12/28
7
W
W
P
09/12
2
W
L
P