LARRams
5-2
51
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
6 mph
17
NYGGiants
1-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
20
21
3
51
Giants
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
473
319
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
7.8
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.44
-0.24
Passing Yards
--
208
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
20/38(53%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.5
EPA / Pass
+1.14
-0.00
Rushing Yards
162
111
Rush Attempts
39
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-12.80
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-12
Sack EPA
--
-5.90
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
55
52
Penalty EPA
-3.22
-5.75
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model60.3%
Spread Pick
Giants+6.0
Expected Value
+18.4%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-13
Home nfelo
1,462
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+78.5
Base HFA
+56.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.1
Away Bye Adj
-43.8
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
+30.2
Net QB Adjustment
-20.2
Home QB Adjustment
-4.6
Away QB Adjustment
+15.6
Market Regression
-10.7
Final Difference
-72.4
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+15.6
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
27
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
26
EPA
EPA / Play
6
18
EPA / Pass
8
21
EPA / Rush
7
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
21
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
21
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
12
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
32
11
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
32
7
EPA / Pass
27
5
EPA / Rush
27
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
24
Interceptions / Game
20
7
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
16
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
14
4th Down Efficiency
25
27
RZ Efficiency
24
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U