LARRams
3-5
9
TBD
MetLife Stadium
62°F
7 mph
6
NYJJets
3-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
62°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
0
3
3
9
Jets
0
6
0
0
6
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
280
296
Total Plays
67
58
Yards / Play
4.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.17
Passing Yards
155
157
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.15
Rushing Yards
125
139
Rush Attempts
34
25
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
35%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.17
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-10
-6
Sack EPA
-3.97
-0.81
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
55
31
Penalty EPA
-2.65
-3.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model44.5%
Spread Pick
Jets+1.0
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+82
Home nfelo
1,497
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+108.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+30.8
Net QB Adjustment
-59.9
Home QB Adjustment
-63.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
-4.2
Final Difference
38.4
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
B. Petty
Proj. Value
-5.1
Team Elo Adj
-63.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
28
Yards / Game
32
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
12
Rushing Yards / Game
31
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
23
EPA / Pass
32
30
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
16
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
16
27
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
19
4th Down Efficiency
28
1
RZ Efficiency
24
21
Jets Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
22
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16
EPA
EPA / Play
30
17
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
9
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
2
Interceptions / Game
32
22
Fumbles / Game
16
20
Turnover EPA / Game
3
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
10
4th Down Efficiency
26
32
RZ Efficiency
32
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U