LARRams
16-2
17
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
020
NEPatriots
13-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
0
0
14
17
Patriots
0
8
3
3
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
267
Total Plays
69
54
Yards / Play
6.2
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.04
Passing Yards
337
134
Comp/Att
28/44(64%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.15
-0.13
Rushing Yards
90
133
Rush Attempts
22
25
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
15
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
38%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.44
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-28
-11
Sack EPA
-4.91
-2.23
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
39
31
Penalty EPA
-5.61
-5.60
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
5
Yards / Game
1
23
Passing Yards / Game
1
30
Rushing Yards / Game
6
17
EPA
EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
1
8
EPA / Rush
3
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
9
Interceptions / Game
24
7
Fumbles / Game
29
11
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
11
4th Down Efficiency
8
8
RZ Efficiency
1
4
Patriots Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
20
3
Passing Yards / Game
19
20
Rushing Yards / Game
17
5
EPA
EPA / Play
11
4
EPA / Pass
10
1
EPA / Rush
21
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
16
Interceptions / Game
6
4
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
7
4th Down Efficiency
20
16
RZ Efficiency
15
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U