nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ ravens week 11, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

LAR logo
LARRams
4-5
13
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
47°F
14 mph
16
BALRavens
2-7
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
47°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
0
6
0
13
Ravens
0
3
0
13
16

Spread

LAR logo
BAL logo
3
P

Total

UNDER
41

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
213
388
Total Plays
56
73
Yards / Play
3.8
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.24
Passing Yards
131
292
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
27/44(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.20
Rushing Yards
82
96
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.56
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
23%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-13.46
-6.47
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-7
Sack EPA
-2.77
-1.37
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
35
137
Penalty EPA
-4.40
-14.82

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+104
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,516
Home Field
+73.5
Base HFA
+62.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+82.5
Home QB Adjustment
+11.8
Away QB Adjustment
-70.6
Market Regression
+15.0
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

C. Keenum headshot

C. Keenum

Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-70.6
Value
Ptile
10/20
-0.9
45
11/03
8.7
93
11/10
0.7
55
11/17
-5.1
19
11/24
-7.3
10
12/01
-0.3
48
12/05
-3.3
29
12/15
-11.3
2
12/21
-4.6
22
12/28
0.7
54
J. Flacco headshot

J. Flacco

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+11.8
Value
Ptile
01/10
4.8
81
09/13
-9.3
2
09/20
6.8
90
09/27
6.1
87
10/01
-8.0
4
10/11
2.8
72
10/18
2.1
65
10/26
-1.5
40
11/01
3.0
73
11/15
5.7
85

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Ravens Defense
Rams logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
32
10
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
7
12

EPA

EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
32
24
EPA / Rush
24
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
30
Interceptions / Game
10
32
Fumbles / Game
15
15
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
20
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
21
11
Ravens Offense vs Rams Defense
Ravens logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
24
12
Yards / Game
14
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
26
21

EPA

EPA / Play
22
6
EPA / Pass
23
10
EPA / Rush
26
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
32
Interceptions / Game
31
17
Fumbles / Game
3
5
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
15
3
RZ Efficiency
24
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/28
-14
L
L
U
09/13
3
W
W
O
09/20
-14
L
L
U
09/27
-6
L
L
U
10/04
2
W
W
O
10/11
-14
L
L
U
10/25
18
W
W
U
11/01
21
W
W
U
11/08
-3
L
L
U
11/15
-24
L
L
O
BAL logo

Ravens

2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/10
-4
L
W
O
09/13
-6
L
L
U
09/20
-4
L
L
O
09/27
-4
L
L
O
10/01
3
W
P
U
10/11
-3
L
L
O
10/18
-5
L
L
O
10/26
-8
L
W
U
11/01
3
W
L
O
11/15
-2
L
L
U