LARRams
-
30
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
013
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
0
10
13
30
Seahawks
3
10
0
0
13
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
426
180
Total Plays
78
46
Yards / Play
5.5
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.24
-0.09
Passing Yards
--
95
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.54
-0.17
Rushing Yards
92
85
Rush Attempts
40
18
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
13
Passing 1st downs
17
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
65%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
11
2
3rd Down Attempts
17
9
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-1.95
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
53
55
Penalty EPA
-6.45
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model61.7%
Spread Pick
Rams+4.5
Expected Value
+3.2%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+30
Home nfelo
1,483
Away nfelo
1,467
Home Field
+23.3
Base HFA
+42.4
Divisional Adj
-19.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-10.0
Home QB Adjustment
+1.9
Away QB Adjustment
+11.8
Market Regression
+2.9
Final Difference
83.2
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+11.8
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
24
Yards / Game
7
30
Passing Yards / Game
12
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
29
EPA / Pass
7
27
EPA / Rush
8
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
18
19
Fumbles / Game
3
13
Turnover EPA / Game
23
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
31
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
8
25
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
18
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
27
13
EPA
EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
12
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
15
24
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
24
RZ Efficiency
26
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U