LARRams
4-0
33
TBD
Lumen Field
53°F
5 mph
31
SEASeahawks
2-2
TBD
Lumen Field
53°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
10
7
9
33
Seahawks
7
10
14
0
31
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
468
373
Total Plays
63
55
Yards / Play
7.4
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.30
+0.24
Passing Yards
313
183
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
9.8
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.39
Rushing Yards
155
190
Rush Attempts
30
32
Yards / Rush
5.2
5.9
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
30
20
Passing 1st downs
17
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
33%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
9
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.46
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-15
Sack EPA
-1.10
-3.44
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
45
50
Penalty EPA
-5.28
-8.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-188
Home nfelo
1,492
Away nfelo
1,681
Home Field
+50.9
Base HFA
+56.7
Divisional Adj
-25.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-50.0
Home QB Adjustment
-9.8
Away QB Adjustment
+40.2
Market Regression
-15.4
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+40.2
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-9.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
13
Yards / Game
3
19
Passing Yards / Game
9
24
Rushing Yards / Game
3
18
EPA
EPA / Play
3
19
EPA / Pass
5
11
EPA / Rush
3
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
19
8
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
18
Yards / Game
18
20
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
17
EPA / Pass
8
10
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
6
4th Down Efficiency
3
21
RZ Efficiency
6
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U