LARRams
2-10
13
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
7 mph
30
SEASeahawks
5-7
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
3
3
7
13
Seahawks
4
0
10
10
24
Spread
-8.5
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
281
359
Total Plays
63
68
Yards / Play
4.5
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.12
Passing Yards
167
214
Comp/Att
12/29(41%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.22
Rushing Yards
114
145
Rush Attempts
31
32
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
5
--
3rd Down %
21%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.91
-4.16
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-26
-10
Sack EPA
-4.96
-1.42
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
30
61
Penalty EPA
-5.34
-7.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+143
Home nfelo
1,430
Away nfelo
1,355
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.5
Home QB Adjustment
+2.9
Away QB Adjustment
-8.6
Market Regression
+2.0
Final Difference
204.6
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.6
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+2.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
7
Yards / Game
31
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
12
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15
EPA
EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
31
3
EPA / Rush
32
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
3
3
Fumbles / Game
27
18
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
10
4th Down Efficiency
24
30
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
20
31
EPA
EPA / Play
25
16
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
27
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
1
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
22
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
29
RZ Efficiency
21
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
6-4
O/U