LARRams
9-4
42
TBD
Lumen Field
47°F
15 mph
7
SEASeahawks
8-5
TBD
Lumen Field
47°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
13
21
6
0
40
Seahawks
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
352
149
Total Plays
68
54
Yards / Play
5.2
2.8
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.71
Passing Yards
108
71
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
14/30(47%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
2.4
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.85
Rushing Yards
244
78
Rush Attempts
43
17
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
11
Passing 1st downs
9
4
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.07
-9.32
Sacks
2
7
Sack Yards
-16
-71
Sack EPA
-2.92
-15.84
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
25
60
Penalty EPA
-2.32
-9.19
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+17
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,571
Home Field
+50.0
Base HFA
+55.7
Divisional Adj
-25.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-8.5
Home QB Adjustment
+24.8
Away QB Adjustment
+33.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+33.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+24.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
9
Yards / Game
8
11
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
6
8
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
7
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
1
14
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
9
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
13
5
EPA / Rush
24
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U