LARRams
6-9
6
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
5 mph
20
SEASeahawks
11-4
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
3
0
0
6
Seahawks
0
0
6
8
14
Spread
-11.5
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
354
Total Plays
60
62
Yards / Play
4.1
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.41
-0.18
Passing Yards
203
222
Comp/Att
26/37(70%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
8.9
EPA / Pass
-0.48
-0.35
Rushing Yards
42
132
Rush Attempts
19
34
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
16
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-19.02
-8.33
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-40
-17
Sack EPA
-5.74
-5.30
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.0
Current
-11.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market82.6%
Model80.9%
Spread Pick
Rams+11.5
Expected Value
+3.3%
Cover Probability
54.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+197
Home nfelo
1,684
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+12.8
Home QB Adjustment
+21.2
Away QB Adjustment
+8.4
Market Regression
-17.3
Final Difference
250.6
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
S. Hill
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
27
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
4
EPA
EPA / Play
28
4
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
29
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
12
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
15
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
8
18
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
8
6
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
1
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
8
Interceptions / Game
5
19
Fumbles / Game
9
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
15
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U