LARRams
5-3
12
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
55°F
12 mph
17
PITSteelers
4-4
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
55°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
1
0
3
0
4
Steelers
7
1
0
3
11
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
273
Total Plays
69
68
Yards / Play
4.4
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.45
-0.37
Passing Yards
218
231
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.51
-0.10
Rushing Yards
88
42
Rush Attempts
23
27
Yards / Rush
3.8
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.80
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
15
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
7%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-17.51
-11.28
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-25
-11
Sack EPA
-12.05
-4.57
Penalties
10
13
Penalty Yards
95
107
Penalty EPA
-9.07
-9.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model66.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-128
Home nfelo
1,610
Away nfelo
1,631
Home Field
-6.8
Base HFA
+50.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-38.9
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-17.9
Net QB Adjustment
-100.8
Home QB Adjustment
-95.8
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
-10.8
Final Difference
-119.9
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
M. Rudolph
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-95.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
5
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
26
13
Rushing Yards / Game
26
14
EPA
EPA / Play
15
2
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
28
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
24
Interceptions / Game
25
2
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
6
4th Down Efficiency
31
18
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Steelers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
17
Yards / Game
30
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
18
EPA
EPA / Play
31
10
EPA / Pass
30
12
EPA / Rush
32
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
32
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
22
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
17
4th Down Efficiency
32
25
RZ Efficiency
32
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Steelers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U