LARRams
10-4
27
TBD
Nissan Stadium
39°F
11 mph
23
TENTitans
8-6
TBD
Nissan Stadium
39°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
6
7
7
7
27
Titans
3
4
7
3
17
Spread
+6
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
366
Total Plays
66
66
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.11
Passing Yards
286
269
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
22/39(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.32
-0.07
Rushing Yards
116
97
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.97
-3.76
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-15
-6
Sack EPA
-1.92
-1.43
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
44
54
Penalty EPA
-4.56
-4.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model65.1%
Spread Pick
Titans+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-67
Home nfelo
1,483
Away nfelo
1,594
Home Field
+75.8
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.0
Net QB Adjustment
-32.1
Home QB Adjustment
-3.7
Away QB Adjustment
+28.3
Market Regression
+7.4
Final Difference
-108.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+28.3
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
19
Yards / Game
8
15
Passing Yards / Game
13
29
Rushing Yards / Game
7
4
EPA
EPA / Play
6
23
EPA / Pass
8
23
EPA / Rush
7
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
13
Interceptions / Game
1
23
Fumbles / Game
30
17
Turnover EPA / Game
21
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
18
4th Down Efficiency
22
26
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Titans Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
12
Yards / Game
21
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
9
27
EPA
EPA / Play
18
7
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
10
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
24
Interceptions / Game
26
7
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
27
RZ Efficiency
16
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U