BALRavens
6-3
16
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
9 mph
13
CHIBears
3-6
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
6
0
10
16
Bears
0
0
7
6
13
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
299
353
Total Plays
76
58
Yards / Play
3.9
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.13
Passing Yards
176
261
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
15/35(43%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.03
Rushing Yards
123
92
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
14
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.17
-4.80
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-43
-19
Sack EPA
-9.97
-6.35
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
36
58
Penalty EPA
-10.99
-5.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model55.1%
Spread Pick
Bears+5.0
Expected Value
+20.3%
Cover Probability
62.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+97
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,592
Home Field
+58.0
Base HFA
+39.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.9
Time Adj
-7.1
Net QB Adjustment
+187.0
Home QB Adjustment
-24.5
Away QB Adjustment
-211.5
Market Regression
+24.4
Final Difference
-35.5
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
T. Huntley
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-211.5
No recent game data available
J. Fields
Proj. Value
+0.1
Team Elo Adj
-24.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
21
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
3
22
EPA
EPA / Play
16
16
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
8
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
2
Interceptions / Game
28
29
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
3
11
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Bears Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
18
Yards / Game
24
24
Passing Yards / Game
21
29
Rushing Yards / Game
15
2
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
30
30
EPA / Rush
18
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
29
27
Fumbles / Game
20
27
Turnover EPA / Game
4
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Bears
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U