BALRavens
1-0
27
TBD
Paycor Stadium
70°F
024
CINBengals
0-1
TBD
Paycor Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
6
7
7
27
Bengals
0
4
7
7
18
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
282
Total Plays
70
57
Yards / Play
5.9
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.04
Passing Yards
--
216
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.04
Rushing Yards
178
66
Rush Attempts
37
15
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
64%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
9
10
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.63
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-6
Sack EPA
--
-1.63
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
56
30
Penalty EPA
-6.60
-4.41
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model55.2%
Spread Pick
Ravens+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+4
Home nfelo
1,567
Away nfelo
1,578
Home Field
+23.6
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-8.4
Home QB Adjustment
-8.3
Away QB Adjustment
+0.1
Market Regression
-8.0
Final Difference
36.2
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+0.1
J. Burrow
Proj. Value
+4.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
20
Yards / Game
6
31
Passing Yards / Game
20
30
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
6
26
EPA / Pass
9
25
EPA / Rush
4
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
7
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
30
21
Turnover EPA / Game
18
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
23
4th Down Efficiency
2
8
RZ Efficiency
7
10
Bengals Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
1
Yards / Game
23
4
Passing Yards / Game
9
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
12
EPA
EPA / Play
12
2
EPA / Pass
15
2
EPA / Rush
15
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
19
10
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
25
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
9
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
10
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Bengals
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
3-7
O/U