BALRavens
6-2
49
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
9 mph
13
CINBengals
0-8
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
14
8
15
0
37
Bengals
0
10
0
3
13
Spread
-10.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
307
Total Plays
46
72
Yards / Play
8.2
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.49
-0.30
Passing Yards
243
150
Comp/Att
18/22(82%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
11.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.89
-0.78
Rushing Yards
136
157
Rush Attempts
23
40
Yards / Rush
5.9
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
67%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
6
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-4.77
-22.40
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
-0.20
-9.53
Penalties
5
1
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-3.06
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market81.3%
Model82.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-302
Home nfelo
1,334
Away nfelo
1,590
Home Field
+42.3
Base HFA
+50.6
Divisional Adj
-22.8
Home Bye Adj
+14.5
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-89.0
Home QB Adjustment
-57.1
Away QB Adjustment
+31.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-273.1
Model Spread
+11.0
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+4.4
Team Elo Adj
+31.9
R. Finley
Proj. Value
-4.0
Team Elo Adj
-57.1
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
25
Yards / Game
2
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
32
EPA
EPA / Play
1
30
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
1
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
9
Interceptions / Game
10
21
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
25
4th Down Efficiency
5
20
RZ Efficiency
5
4
Bengals Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
3
Yards / Game
26
3
Passing Yards / Game
11
14
Rushing Yards / Game
25
7
EPA
EPA / Play
25
7
EPA / Pass
29
3
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
26
Interceptions / Game
23
16
Fumbles / Game
27
6
Turnover EPA / Game
6
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
12
3
RZ Efficiency
30
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Bengals
0-10
SU
5-5
ATS
2-7-1
O/U