BALRavens
4-0
3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
39°F
7 mph
13
DENBroncos
2-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
39°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
3
0
0
0
3
Broncos
0
3
0
10
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
222
Total Plays
61
53
Yards / Play
4.2
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.13
Passing Yards
154
106
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
4.4
EPA / Pass
-0.43
-0.30
Rushing Yards
103
116
Rush Attempts
25
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
13
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.24
-7.22
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-2.69
-0.49
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
15
25
Penalty EPA
-1.70
-2.48
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
6
Yards / Game
16
15
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
26
12
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
20
Interceptions / Game
15
15
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
13
4th Down Efficiency
2
5
RZ Efficiency
28
7
Broncos Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
21
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
24
Rushing Yards / Game
8
2
EPA
EPA / Play
17
2
EPA / Pass
23
1
EPA / Rush
9
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
31
Interceptions / Game
20
1
Fumbles / Game
17
13
Turnover EPA / Game
12
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
1
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
11
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U