BALRavens
4-8
10
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
41°F
5 mph
12
DENBroncos
9-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
41°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
3
0
0
7
10
Broncos
3
3
6
0
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
318
Total Plays
65
67
Yards / Play
5.0
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.06
Passing Yards
251
222
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
19/33(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.02
Rushing Yards
72
96
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
46%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-16.61
-3.77
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
-5.07
-2.96
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
--
31
Penalty EPA
--
-4.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
6
Yards / Game
23
19
Passing Yards / Game
17
4
Rushing Yards / Game
20
2
EPA
EPA / Play
28
13
EPA / Pass
23
15
EPA / Rush
29
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
30
Interceptions / Game
27
6
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
5
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
18
RZ Efficiency
27
28
Broncos Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
10
Yards / Game
5
3
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
3
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
4
EPA / Pass
9
2
EPA / Rush
2
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
9
Interceptions / Game
2
25
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
10
4th Down Efficiency
2
6
RZ Efficiency
6
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U