BALRavens
2-1
28
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
71°F
7 mph
3
CLEBrowns
2-1
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
71°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
14
0
7
28
Browns
3
0
0
0
3
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
166
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
5.4
2.6
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.44
Passing Yards
165
73
Comp/Att
15/19(79%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
2.0
EPA / Pass
+0.36
-0.76
Rushing Yards
131
93
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
13
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.50
-13.99
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-21
-48
Sack EPA
-4.59
-7.06
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
92
42
Penalty EPA
-8.09
-4.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-79
Home nfelo
1,563
Away nfelo
1,564
Home Field
+23.6
Base HFA
+42.9
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-101.1
Home QB Adjustment
-85.4
Away QB Adjustment
+15.6
Market Regression
+7.7
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+15.6
D. Thompson-Robinson
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-85.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
21
Yards / Game
6
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
2
Rushing Yards / Game
1
10
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
9
1
EPA / Rush
4
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
11
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
18
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
1
4th Down Efficiency
2
1
RZ Efficiency
7
32
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
1
Yards / Game
16
4
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
12
EPA
EPA / Play
28
2
EPA / Pass
28
2
EPA / Rush
23
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
13
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
26
20
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
16
1
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Browns
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U