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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ colts week 15, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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BAL logo
BALRavens
8-5
10
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0
20
INDColts
10-3
IND logo
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
3
0
7
10
Colts
3
3
14
0
20

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Colts logo
Total Yards
354
316
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
5.0
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.05
Passing Yards
194
--
Comp/Att
19/40(48%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.19
Rushing Yards
160
67
Rush Attempts
29
24
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Colts logo
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
24%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Colts logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.18
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-2.87
--
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
35
28
Penalty EPA
-4.10
-1.04

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Colts Defense
Ravens logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
20
19
Yards / Game
31
28
Passing Yards / Game
32
32
Rushing Yards / Game
8
26

EPA

EPA / Play
26
25
EPA / Pass
29
25
EPA / Rush
17
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
32
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
25
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Colts Offense vs Ravens Defense
Colts logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
1
5
Yards / Game
2
6
Passing Yards / Game
15
10
Rushing Yards / Game
21
8

EPA

EPA / Play
1
2
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
7
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
2
7
Fumbles / Game
9
5
Turnover EPA / Game
30
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
2
RZ Efficiency
3
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/04
-3
L
L
P
10/10
7
W
W
P
10/24
14
W
W
P
10/31
-5
L
W
P
11/07
14
W
W
P
11/14
3
W
W
P
11/21
20
W
W
P
11/28
-21
L
L
P
12/05
-1
L
L
P
12/12
23
W
W
P
IND logo

Colts

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
7
W
W
P
10/10
21
W
W
P
10/24
-3
L
L
P
10/31
-10
L
L
P
11/08
3
W
L
P
11/14
35
W
W
P
11/21
31
W
W
P
11/25
32
W
W
P
12/05
27
W
W
P
12/12
9
W
L
P