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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ falcons week 4, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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BAL logo
BALRavens
1-1
19
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0
13
ATLFalcons
0-3
ATL logo
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Ravens
0
3
7
3
6
19
Falcons
0
6
7
0
0
13

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Falcons logo
Total Yards
307
298
Total Plays
66
72
Yards / Play
4.7
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.25
Passing Yards
163
227
Comp/Att
13/27(48%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.07
Rushing Yards
144
52
Rush Attempts
34
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
2.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.50
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Falcons logo
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Falcons logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-11.84
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-29
-11
Sack EPA
-6.47
-5.71
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
38
40
Penalty EPA
-3.61
-3.42

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Falcons Defense
Ravens logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
11
25
Yards / Game
22
16
Passing Yards / Game
17
10
Rushing Yards / Game
15
29

EPA

EPA / Play
19
25
EPA / Pass
29
26
EPA / Rush
9
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
6
Interceptions / Game
22
28
Fumbles / Game
21
29
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
22
4th Down Efficiency
29
13
RZ Efficiency
30
20
Falcons Offense vs Ravens Defense
Falcons logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
23
7
Yards / Game
27
2
Passing Yards / Game
21
4
Rushing Yards / Game
30
1

EPA

EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
19
2
EPA / Rush
30
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
20
10
Fumbles / Game
23
28
Turnover EPA / Game
8
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
20
19
RZ Efficiency
12
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

1-1
SU
0-2
ATS
0-0-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-3
L
L
P
09/26
7
W
L
P
ATL logo

Falcons

0-3
SU
1-2
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
-3
L
W
P
09/20
-17
L
L
P
09/26
-28
L
L
P