BALRavens
6-3
37
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
6 mph
13
CARPanthers
1-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
10
7
3
5
25
Panthers
0
3
3
7
13
Spread
-13.5
Total
OVER
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
378
270
Total Plays
67
53
Yards / Play
5.6
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.39
Passing Yards
278
150
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
13/28(46%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.66
Rushing Yards
100
120
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
9
Passing 1st downs
13
3
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
18%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
2
1
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-7.77
-13.82
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-23
Sack EPA
-5.06
-3.36
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
20
54
Penalty EPA
-2.14
-5.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model81.6%
Spread Pick
Panthers+13.5
Expected Value
+10.4%
Cover Probability
57.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-209
Home nfelo
1,335
Away nfelo
1,598
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-29.5
Home QB Adjustment
-8.5
Away QB Adjustment
+21.0
Market Regression
-23.9
Final Difference
-259.0
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+21.0
B. St. Pierre
Proj. Value
-3.8
Team Elo Adj
-8.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
25
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
15
21
Rushing Yards / Game
16
23
EPA
EPA / Play
10
17
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
18
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
3
11
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
23
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
14
4th Down Efficiency
19
12
RZ Efficiency
22
10
Panthers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
3
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
30
12
Rushing Yards / Game
12
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
32
8
EPA / Rush
32
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
9
Interceptions / Game
27
7
Fumbles / Game
30
7
Turnover EPA / Game
4
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
18
18
RZ Efficiency
32
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U