BALRavens
8-2
45
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
62°F
5 mph
6
LARRams
6-4
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
62°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
14
14
7
10
45
Rams
0
6
0
0
6
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
480
221
Total Plays
74
48
Yards / Play
6.5
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.47
-0.21
Passing Yards
195
199
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.4
EPA / Pass
+1.06
-0.25
Rushing Yards
285
22
Rush Attempts
48
9
Yards / Rush
5.9
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.23
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
31
14
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
17
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
60%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
86%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
6
--
Red Zone Attempts
7
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.76
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-13
-13
Sack EPA
-3.79
-3.11
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
66
56
Penalty EPA
-8.62
-6.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.8%
Spread Pick
Rams+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+20
Home nfelo
1,623
Away nfelo
1,624
Home Field
+76.3
Base HFA
+49.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+26.6
Net QB Adjustment
-54.9
Home QB Adjustment
-8.6
Away QB Adjustment
+46.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-19.1
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+4.4
Team Elo Adj
+46.3
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
-8.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
17
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
18
EPA
EPA / Play
1
10
EPA / Pass
1
12
EPA / Rush
1
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
32
Interceptions / Game
10
13
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
30
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
17
4th Down Efficiency
5
25
RZ Efficiency
5
30
Rams Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
3
Yards / Game
6
3
Passing Yards / Game
26
14
Rushing Yards / Game
26
7
EPA
EPA / Play
15
7
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
28
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
26
Interceptions / Game
25
16
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
14
4th Down Efficiency
31
3
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U