BALRavens
6-2
17
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
10 mph
22
SEASeahawks
2-6
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
7
3
7
17
Seahawks
10
9
3
0
22
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
327
Total Plays
66
70
Yards / Play
4.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.07
Passing Yards
248
208
Comp/Att
30/53(57%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.20
Rushing Yards
75
119
Rush Attempts
12
42
Yards / Rush
6.3
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.45
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
42%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
67%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.41
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-9
Sack EPA
-1.33
-1.94
Penalties
4
13
Penalty Yards
--
100
Penalty EPA
--
-9.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-136
Home nfelo
1,417
Away nfelo
1,634
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+7.0
Home QB Adjustment
+5.7
Away QB Adjustment
-1.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.3
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
7
Yards / Game
15
9
Passing Yards / Game
13
12
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15
EPA
EPA / Play
15
5
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
18
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
4
Interceptions / Game
5
3
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
23
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
17
12
Seahawks Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
3
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
23
4
Rushing Yards / Game
20
3
EPA
EPA / Play
25
3
EPA / Pass
20
2
EPA / Rush
27
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
16
Interceptions / Game
13
12
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
22
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
3
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
21
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U