nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ steelers week 19, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

BAL logo
BALRavens
13-4
24
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
36°F
17 mph
31
PITSteelers
12-4
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
36°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
8
7
0
3
18
Steelers
7
0
14
10
31

Spread

PIT logo
-3.5

Total

OVER
37.5

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
126
263
Total Plays
53
69
Yards / Play
2.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.06
Passing Yards
91
192
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
3.0
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.40
-0.02
Rushing Yards
35
71
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
1.9
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.43
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
12
21
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
67%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-10.86
-10.67
Sacks
5
6
Sack Yards
-34
-34
Sack EPA
-6.56
-12.90
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
74
93
Penalty EPA
-4.56
-7.91

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+70
Home nfelo
1,586
Away nfelo
1,634
Home Field
+74.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+38.6
Home QB Adjustment
+49.6
Away QB Adjustment
+10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5

Quarterbacks

J. Flacco headshot

J. Flacco

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+10.9
Value
Ptile
11/07
2.7
67
11/11
2.0
61
11/21
3.4
72
11/28
1.6
58
12/05
-0.9
43
12/13
-1.5
40
12/19
-1.4
41
12/26
-1.0
43
01/02
-7.1
10
01/09
4.9
82
B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+49.6
Value
Ptile
10/31
-4.5
20
11/08
-1.1
42
11/14
2.9
69
11/21
11.8
99
11/28
-2.7
31
12/05
-2.0
36
12/12
-0.4
46
12/19
1.1
55
12/23
5.1
83
01/02
7.7
93

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Steelers Defense
Ravens logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
13
2
Yards / Game
22
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
17
Rushing Yards / Game
16
1

EPA

EPA / Play
10
2
EPA / Pass
10
4
EPA / Rush
18
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
3
10
Fumbles / Game
17
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
25
RZ Efficiency
22
4
Steelers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Steelers logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
12
3
Yards / Game
14
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
12
Rushing Yards / Game
11
3

EPA

EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
10
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
9
Interceptions / Game
6
7
Fumbles / Game
18
7
Turnover EPA / Game
20
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
27
18
RZ Efficiency
15
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/07
16
W
W
U
11/11
-5
L
L
O
11/21
24
W
W
O
11/28
7
W
L
U
12/05
-3
L
L
U
12/13
6
W
W
O
12/19
6
W
W
O
12/26
10
W
W
U
01/02
6
W
L
U
01/09
23
W
W
U
PIT logo

Steelers

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/31
-10
L
L
U
11/08
6
W
W
O
11/14
-13
L
L
O
11/21
32
W
W
U
11/28
3
W
L
U
12/05
3
W
W
U
12/12
16
W
W
U
12/19
-5
L
L
O
12/23
24
W
W
U
01/02
32
W
W
O