NOSaints
1-3
31
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
16 mph
10
CHIBears
1-4
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
17
7
7
31
Bears
1
0
0
3
4
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
245
Total Plays
76
56
Yards / Play
5.3
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.28
Passing Yards
217
173
Comp/Att
18/25(72%)
18/37(49%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.59
Rushing Yards
186
72
Rush Attempts
49
15
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
13
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
14
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.04
-9.49
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-15
-29
Sack EPA
-2.79
-6.63
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
149
45
Penalty EPA
-10.75
-2.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
12
17
Passing Yards / Game
9
25
Rushing Yards / Game
14
19
EPA
EPA / Play
13
16
EPA / Pass
8
17
EPA / Rush
15
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
21
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
18
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
13
4th Down Efficiency
7
29
RZ Efficiency
14
29
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
14
Yards / Game
24
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
21
9
EPA
EPA / Play
26
13
EPA / Pass
27
10
EPA / Rush
18
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
16
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
20
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
24
4th Down Efficiency
20
6
RZ Efficiency
25
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U