NOSaints
-
24
TBD
New Era Field
87°F
10 mph
6
BUFBills
-
TBD
New Era Field
87°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
0
17
7
24
Bills
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
251
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
5.2
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.29
Passing Yards
192
126
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.60
Rushing Yards
109
125
Rush Attempts
26
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-11.55
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-17
-34
Sack EPA
-3.41
-6.33
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
35
35
Penalty EPA
-4.19
-6.89
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
29
Yards / Game
10
20
Passing Yards / Game
9
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
26
EPA
EPA / Play
20
29
EPA / Pass
16
17
EPA / Rush
28
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
25
29
Fumbles / Game
15
29
Turnover EPA / Game
10
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
28
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Bills Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
27
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
11
15
Rushing Yards / Game
23
13
EPA
EPA / Play
23
25
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
5
Interceptions / Game
20
21
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
8
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
23
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
16
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U