NOSaints
1-1
32
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
7 mph
34
DENBroncos
2-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
14
7
6
30
Broncos
14
4
10
0
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
502
369
Total Plays
75
58
Yards / Play
6.7
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.17
Passing Yards
414
--
Comp/Att
39/49(80%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.46
+0.15
Rushing Yards
88
105
Rush Attempts
25
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.31
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
20
Passing 1st downs
20
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
57%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
75%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.55
-9.39
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.99
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
51
--
Penalty EPA
-4.94
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
30
Yards / Game
1
29
Passing Yards / Game
3
21
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27
EPA
EPA / Play
3
32
EPA / Pass
1
31
EPA / Rush
21
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
32
Interceptions / Game
24
31
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
8
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
26
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
5
27
Broncos Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
26
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
11
Rushing Yards / Game
11
17
EPA
EPA / Play
5
22
EPA / Pass
4
18
EPA / Rush
5
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
30
Interceptions / Game
24
14
Fumbles / Game
18
26
Turnover EPA / Game
10
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
27
19
RZ Efficiency
16
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U