NOSaints
3-12
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
7 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
10-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
10
0
3
13
Buccaneers
7
10
0
4
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
285
Total Plays
64
52
Yards / Play
4.8
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.12
Passing Yards
235
136
Comp/Att
25/37(68%)
12/25(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.10
Rushing Yards
71
149
Rush Attempts
23
26
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
1
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.86
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-30
-7
Sack EPA
-13.05
-2.22
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
53
107
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-8.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
7
Yards / Game
20
1
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
5
EPA
EPA / Play
30
3
EPA / Pass
25
5
EPA / Rush
26
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
14
Interceptions / Game
30
13
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
2
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
7
4th Down Efficiency
32
13
RZ Efficiency
27
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
28
Yards / Game
24
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
27
EPA
EPA / Play
21
28
EPA / Pass
22
27
EPA / Rush
15
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
13
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
17
31
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U