NOSaints
3-4
17
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
63°F
8 mph
43
LACChargers
5-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
63°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
0
10
17
Chargers
14
6
14
7
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
243
402
Total Plays
50
73
Yards / Play
4.9
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.40
Passing Yards
165
250
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.34
Rushing Yards
78
152
Rush Attempts
18
35
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
28
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
50%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
5
12
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
67%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.14
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-8
-7
Sack EPA
-6.71
-2.14
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
117
32
Penalty EPA
-9.97
+0.33
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
10
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
5
29
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3
EPA
EPA / Play
14
21
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
26
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
29
Interceptions / Game
14
6
Fumbles / Game
11
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
20
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Chargers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
26
Yards / Game
10
32
Passing Yards / Game
10
18
Rushing Yards / Game
7
29
EPA
EPA / Play
3
23
EPA / Pass
3
24
EPA / Rush
4
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
12
Interceptions / Game
1
25
Fumbles / Game
3
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
17
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
2
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U