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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. saints @ cowboys week 14, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NO logo
NOSaints
4-8
27
TBD
Texas Stadium
62°F
0
13
DALCowboys
5-7
DAL logo
TBD
Texas Stadium
62°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
10
3
14
27
Cowboys
10
0
3
0
13

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
344
269
Total Plays
70
65
Yards / Play
4.9
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.19
Passing Yards
239
148
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
14/35(40%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
4.2
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.38
Rushing Yards
105
121
Rush Attempts
37
27
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
27%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.83
-12.03
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-12
Sack EPA
-3.06
-6.01
Penalties
9
11
Penalty Yards
136
76
Penalty EPA
-13.50
-11.25

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Saints logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
15
26
Yards / Game
15
16
Passing Yards / Game
5
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10

EPA

EPA / Play
14
26
EPA / Pass
15
27
EPA / Rush
26
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
11
30
Turnover EPA / Game
10
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
20
4th Down Efficiency
14
4
RZ Efficiency
5
30
Cowboys Offense vs Saints Defense
Cowboys logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
25
26
Yards / Game
16
32
Passing Yards / Game
7
18
Rushing Yards / Game
19
29

EPA

EPA / Play
18
23
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
18
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
31
25
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
17
4th Down Efficiency
13
32
RZ Efficiency
15
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/26
3
W
W
P
10/03
-24
L
L
P
10/10
-3
L
L
P
10/17
-7
L
L
P
10/24
5
W
W
P
11/07
-26
L
L
P
11/14
7
W
W
P
11/21
-21
L
L
P
11/28
-3
L
W
P
12/05
-11
L
L
P
DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/27
3
W
W
P
10/10
-16
L
L
P
10/17
-4
L
L
P
10/24
-21
L
L
P
10/31
10
W
W
P
11/07
-23
L
L
P
11/15
-28
L
L
P
11/21
-20
L
L
P
11/25
14
W
W
P
12/06
4
W
W
P