NOSaints
2-7
23
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
62°F
041
JAXJaguars
8-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
62°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
10
0
6
23
Jaguars
8
3
14
10
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
494
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
5.7
8.2
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.36
Passing Yards
233
355
Comp/Att
18/28(64%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
11.1
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.44
Rushing Yards
106
139
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
30
Passing 1st downs
12
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
7
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.62
-5.42
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-18
-17
Sack EPA
-3.13
-3.16
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
39
50
Penalty EPA
-3.66
-4.43
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
1
Yards / Game
19
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
17
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
4
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
21
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
21
Interceptions / Game
30
12
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
24
22
Jaguars Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
28
Yards / Game
4
19
Passing Yards / Game
13
18
Rushing Yards / Game
1
19
EPA
EPA / Play
5
27
EPA / Pass
4
20
EPA / Rush
3
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
16
Interceptions / Game
2
13
Fumbles / Game
4
10
Turnover EPA / Game
30
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
20
4th Down Efficiency
17
31
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
2-7
SU
3-5-1
ATS
0-0-9
O/U
Jaguars
8-1
SU
5-4
ATS
0-0-9
O/U