NOSaints
7-7
19
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
52°F
9 mph
20
JAXJaguars
4-10
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
52°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
7
3
6
19
Jaguars
0
17
3
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
374
Total Plays
64
63
Yards / Play
5.5
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.03
Passing Yards
289
131
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
9/17(53%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.08
Rushing Yards
61
243
Rush Attempts
25
45
Yards / Rush
2.4
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.65
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
22
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
--
11
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
46%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.91
-8.86
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.93
-0.56
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
30
69
Penalty EPA
-2.56
-9.76
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
16
Yards / Game
11
6
Passing Yards / Game
7
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
2
EPA
EPA / Play
14
18
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
22
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
24
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
30
4th Down Efficiency
31
20
RZ Efficiency
11
20
Jaguars Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
14
Yards / Game
12
18
Passing Yards / Game
13
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27
EPA
EPA / Play
18
15
EPA / Pass
16
14
EPA / Rush
12
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
15
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
19
18
Turnover EPA / Game
9
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
15
4th Down Efficiency
16
23
RZ Efficiency
25
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U