NOSaints
3-0
21
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
026
DETLions
0-3
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
8
6
21
Lions
7
7
3
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
352
Total Plays
69
65
Yards / Play
5.2
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.00
Passing Yards
247
--
Comp/Att
27/48(56%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.21
+0.24
Rushing Yards
112
85
Rush Attempts
18
30
Yards / Rush
6.2
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.25
-0.54
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
16
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
54%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.88
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-22
--
Sack EPA
-10.73
--
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
38
44
Penalty EPA
-4.13
-5.73
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
31
Yards / Game
18
31
Passing Yards / Game
10
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
19
EPA
EPA / Play
13
25
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
12
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
32
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
15
6
Turnover EPA / Game
15
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
29
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
13
28
Lions Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
26
Yards / Game
28
27
Passing Yards / Game
32
27
Rushing Yards / Game
29
20
EPA
EPA / Play
28
16
EPA / Pass
29
19
EPA / Rush
24
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
13
Interceptions / Game
31
7
Fumbles / Game
2
1
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
22
25
RZ Efficiency
29
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U