NOSaints
-
23
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
79°F
15 mph
20
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
79°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
7
3
6
23
Panthers
7
0
7
6
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
350
Total Plays
58
57
Yards / Play
5.0
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.11
Passing Yards
190
209
Comp/Att
18/24(75%)
19/31(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.01
Rushing Yards
101
141
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
5
3rd Down %
62%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.13
-10.13
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-3
Sack EPA
-5.13
-0.89
Penalties
9
11
Penalty Yards
74
84
Penalty EPA
-8.56
-8.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
18
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
2
EPA / Pass
25
3
EPA / Rush
26
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
25
Interceptions / Game
30
4
Fumbles / Game
30
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
27
10
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
21
15
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
18
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
11
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
27
31
RZ Efficiency
10
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U