NOSaints
7-8
21
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
8 mph
18
CARPanthers
7-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
7
7
0
21
Panthers
3
0
7
8
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
360
322
Total Plays
64
70
Yards / Play
5.6
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.09
Passing Yards
196
276
Comp/Att
14/24(58%)
24/51(47%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.17
Rushing Yards
164
46
Rush Attempts
37
13
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.58
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
31%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-11.84
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-20
-33
Sack EPA
-5.12
-12.54
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
87
45
Penalty EPA
-13.57
-4.22
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
15
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
5
28
Rushing Yards / Game
25
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
19
EPA / Pass
15
14
EPA / Rush
26
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
22
Interceptions / Game
14
1
Fumbles / Game
11
10
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
31
4th Down Efficiency
14
17
RZ Efficiency
5
19
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
26
Yards / Game
14
32
Passing Yards / Game
11
18
Rushing Yards / Game
28
29
EPA
EPA / Play
9
23
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
23
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
12
Interceptions / Game
12
25
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
23
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
32
RZ Efficiency
9
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U