NOSaints
5-4
17
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
62°F
20 mph
34
NEPatriots
5-5
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
62°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
0
10
7
17
Patriots
7
13
0
14
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
428
432
Total Plays
62
69
Yards / Play
6.9
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.36
Passing Yards
307
241
Comp/Att
16/39(41%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.50
Rushing Yards
121
191
Rush Attempts
22
38
Yards / Rush
5.5
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
26
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
43%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.63
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
-0.46
-5.83
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
86
64
Penalty EPA
-8.30
-8.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
5
Yards / Game
10
23
Passing Yards / Game
9
30
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17
EPA
EPA / Play
20
7
EPA / Pass
16
8
EPA / Rush
28
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
9
Interceptions / Game
25
7
Fumbles / Game
15
11
Turnover EPA / Game
10
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
8
RZ Efficiency
12
4
Patriots Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
27
Yards / Game
20
17
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
13
EPA
EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
10
24
EPA / Rush
21
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
5
Interceptions / Game
6
21
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
23
4th Down Efficiency
20
1
RZ Efficiency
15
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U