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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. saints @ raiders week 7, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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NO logo
NOSaints
2-4
31
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
10 mph
26
OAKRaiders
2-4
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
14
4
25
Raiders
6
3
0
17
26

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
322
432
Total Plays
68
69
Yards / Play
4.7
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.01
Passing Yards
280
--
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
26/45(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.29
+0.13
Rushing Yards
42
82
Rush Attempts
28
24
Yards / Rush
1.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
47%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.52
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-2
--
Sack EPA
-0.55
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
30
46
Penalty EPA
-5.48
-7.29

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Raiders Defense
Saints logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
15
31
Yards / Game
15
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
25
23

EPA

EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
15
32
EPA / Rush
26
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
14
29
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
10
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
32
4th Down Efficiency
14
16
RZ Efficiency
5
32
Raiders Offense vs Saints Defense
Raiders logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
19
26
Yards / Game
17
32
Passing Yards / Game
4
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
29

EPA

EPA / Play
13
23
EPA / Pass
19
24
EPA / Rush
22
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
12
Interceptions / Game
29
25
Fumbles / Game
23
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
17
4th Down Efficiency
14
32
RZ Efficiency
21
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/07
-7
L
L
P
12/14
38
W
W
P
12/21
-1
L
W
P
12/28
6
W
W
P
09/12
-14
L
L
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
3
W
W
P
10/03
-24
L
L
P
10/10
-3
L
L
P
10/17
-7
L
L
P
OAK logo

Raiders

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/07
-20
L
L
P
12/14
8
W
W
P
12/22
-34
L
L
P
12/28
-7
L
L
P
09/12
-3
L
W
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
10
W
W
P
10/03
-13
L
L
P
10/10
-21
L
L
P
10/17
-28
L
L
P