NOSaints
2-4
17
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
028
LARRams
2-4
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
14
0
0
3
17
Rams
0
7
0
15
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
298
Total Plays
75
57
Yards / Play
4.4
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.07
Passing Yards
213
189
Comp/Att
18/39(46%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.12
Rushing Yards
119
109
Rush Attempts
32
27
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
16
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
38%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-12.75
-2.76
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-2.20
-1.34
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
102
65
Penalty EPA
-5.96
-9.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
31
Yards / Game
20
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
25
Rushing Yards / Game
18
28
EPA
EPA / Play
30
22
EPA / Pass
25
23
EPA / Rush
26
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
6
Interceptions / Game
30
24
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
23
4th Down Efficiency
32
1
RZ Efficiency
27
29
Rams Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
28
Yards / Game
9
15
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
27
EPA
EPA / Play
18
28
EPA / Pass
13
27
EPA / Rush
30
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
30
27
Fumbles / Game
18
23
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
4
31
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U