NOSaints
8-4
37
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
45°F
7 mph
25
BALRavens
6-6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
45°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
10
10
7
10
37
Ravens
7
0
7
11
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
412
Total Plays
76
66
Yards / Play
4.7
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.12
Passing Yards
209
296
Comp/Att
16/33(48%)
18/39(46%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.11
Rushing Yards
150
116
Rush Attempts
41
25
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
39%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
4
Turnover EPA
-4.59
-16.35
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-17
-20
Sack EPA
-2.42
-8.27
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
35
69
Penalty EPA
-3.19
-6.94
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
17
Yards / Game
18
21
Passing Yards / Game
10
25
Rushing Yards / Game
17
13
EPA
EPA / Play
13
15
EPA / Pass
19
12
EPA / Rush
12
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
10
Interceptions / Game
12
2
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
15
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
6
29
RZ Efficiency
13
11
Ravens Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
26
27
Passing Yards / Game
29
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
20
EPA
EPA / Play
23
16
EPA / Pass
24
19
EPA / Rush
18
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
13
Interceptions / Game
9
7
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
25
RZ Efficiency
24
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U