SEASeahawks
1-2
28
TBD
Levi's Stadium
80°F
021
SF49ers
2-1
TBD
Levi's Stadium
80°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
14
7
28
49ers
7
0
6
8
21
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
459
Total Plays
54
73
Yards / Play
4.3
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.14
Passing Yards
129
314
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
23/41(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.16
Rushing Yards
105
145
Rush Attempts
28
30
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
6
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
20%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.84
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-20
-8
Sack EPA
-5.95
-3.15
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
27
78
Penalty EPA
-2.50
-9.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+25
Home nfelo
1,585
Away nfelo
1,595
Home Field
+38.2
Base HFA
+42.5
Divisional Adj
-19.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.5
Home QB Adjustment
+2.0
Away QB Adjustment
+5.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.5
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
5
Yards / Game
20
4
Passing Yards / Game
24
19
Rushing Yards / Game
10
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
13
EPA / Pass
17
13
EPA / Rush
6
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
24
Interceptions / Game
2
26
Fumbles / Game
5
15
Turnover EPA / Game
31
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
3
13
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
12
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
26
32
Rushing Yards / Game
7
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
17
EPA / Pass
8
24
EPA / Rush
15
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
15
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
49ers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U