SEASeahawks
8-5
23
TBD
Levi's Stadium
61°F
11 mph
26
SF49ers
3-10
TBD
Levi's Stadium
61°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
6
7
0
10
0
23
49ers
7
10
3
3
3
26
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
385
351
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
5.6
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.14
Passing Yards
217
257
Comp/Att
23/31(74%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.32
Rushing Yards
168
94
Rush Attempts
35
26
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
47%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
19
10
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.49
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-20
-18
Sack EPA
-6.22
-2.90
Penalties
14
8
Penalty Yards
148
66
Penalty EPA
-13.78
-6.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-132
Home nfelo
1,461
Away nfelo
1,568
Home Field
+51.6
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-76.0
Home QB Adjustment
-75.2
Away QB Adjustment
+0.7
Market Regression
+36.5
Final Difference
-109.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.7
N. Mullens
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-75.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
28
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
19
20
Rushing Yards / Game
1
13
EPA
EPA / Play
6
26
EPA / Pass
8
28
EPA / Rush
5
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
9
Interceptions / Game
2
32
Fumbles / Game
2
26
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
21
4th Down Efficiency
3
18
RZ Efficiency
6
26
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
13
Yards / Game
14
19
Passing Yards / Game
16
24
Rushing Yards / Game
12
18
EPA
EPA / Play
21
19
EPA / Pass
20
11
EPA / Rush
28
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
8
Interceptions / Game
30
19
Fumbles / Game
25
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
32
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U