SEASeahawks
6-5
23
TBD
Soldier Field
61°F
4 mph
17
CHIBears
8-3
TBD
Soldier Field
61°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
10
0
7
6
23
Bears
7
0
7
3
0
17
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
459
365
Total Plays
71
59
Yards / Play
6.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.13
Passing Yards
283
--
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.41
Rushing Yards
176
132
Rush Attempts
32
33
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
22
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
11
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
53%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.72
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-3.15
--
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
55
45
Penalty EPA
-11.36
-4.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model65.6%
Spread Pick
Bears-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+155
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,526
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-14.8
Home QB Adjustment
+6.0
Away QB Adjustment
+20.7
Market Regression
-11.5
Final Difference
112.4
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+20.7
J. Cutler
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
14
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
24
Rushing Yards / Game
4
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
1
EPA / Pass
4
1
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
8
Interceptions / Game
5
1
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
5
4th Down Efficiency
12
26
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
1
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
26
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
5
EPA / Pass
26
5
EPA / Rush
18
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
18
Interceptions / Game
18
6
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
22
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
2
RZ Efficiency
22
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Bears
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U