SEASeahawks
6-7
38
TBD
Soldier Field
39°F
5 mph
14
CHIBears
7-6
TBD
Soldier Field
39°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
0
11
8
26
Bears
1
7
0
0
8
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
34.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
221
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
4.4
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.53
Passing Yards
226
89
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
11/25(44%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-1.10
Rushing Yards
60
132
Rush Attempts
33
31
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
13
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
75%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.30
-24.74
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-1
-34
Sack EPA
-4.30
-5.53
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
36
45
Penalty EPA
-0.75
-8.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+141
Home nfelo
1,595
Away nfelo
1,455
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-106.0
Home QB Adjustment
-98.6
Away QB Adjustment
+7.3
Market Regression
-3.8
Final Difference
108.9
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+7.3
C. Hanie
Proj. Value
-6.5
Team Elo Adj
-98.6
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
14
Yards / Game
28
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
20
5
EPA
EPA / Play
25
4
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
27
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
5
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
17
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
9
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
21
7
Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
7
Yards / Game
25
9
Passing Yards / Game
30
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
15
EPA
EPA / Play
24
5
EPA / Pass
30
3
EPA / Rush
19
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
4
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
22
18
Turnover EPA / Game
8
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
12
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Bears
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U