SEASeahawks
2-2
24
TBD
Paycor Stadium
66°F
3 mph
27
CINBengals
4-0
TBD
Paycor Stadium
66°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
7
3
8
0
0
18
Bengals
7
0
0
17
3
27
Spread
3
P
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
397
419
Total Plays
57
79
Yards / Play
7.0
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.00
Passing Yards
197
310
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
30/44(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.16
Rushing Yards
200
109
Rush Attempts
30
31
Yards / Rush
6.7
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.23
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
27
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
38%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.40
-12.15
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-16
-21
Sack EPA
-5.87
-5.43
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
112
50
Penalty EPA
-6.22
-5.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+67
Home nfelo
1,560
Away nfelo
1,612
Home Field
+96.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+22.2
Home QB Adjustment
+23.9
Away QB Adjustment
+1.6
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.6
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+23.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
8
13
Passing Yards / Game
18
24
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7
EPA
EPA / Play
3
7
EPA / Pass
1
5
EPA / Rush
12
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
5
27
Turnover EPA / Game
27
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
1
16
RZ Efficiency
15
4
Bengals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
16
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
13
3
EPA
EPA / Play
6
8
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
23
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
5
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
25
14
Turnover EPA / Game
25
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
7
4th Down Efficiency
4
2
RZ Efficiency
5
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U