SEASeahawks
15-3
43
TBD
MetLife Stadium
49°F
4 mph
8
DENBroncos
15-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
49°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
6
8
14
7
35
Broncos
0
0
8
0
8
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
308
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
6.2
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.26
Passing Yards
--
281
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
34/50(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.52
-0.28
Rushing Yards
135
27
Rush Attempts
29
14
Yards / Rush
4.7
1.9
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
58%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-17.59
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-1
Sack EPA
--
-2.40
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
104
44
Penalty EPA
-12.60
-9.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+35
Home nfelo
1,714
Away nfelo
1,719
Home Field
-11.2
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+47.6
Home QB Adjustment
+26.7
Away QB Adjustment
-20.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-20.9
P. Manning
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+26.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
22
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
28
23
Rushing Yards / Game
4
5
EPA
EPA / Play
12
23
EPA / Pass
4
23
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
32
Interceptions / Game
2
18
Fumbles / Game
21
8
Turnover EPA / Game
29
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
19
4th Down Efficiency
19
4
RZ Efficiency
14
25
Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
1
Yards / Game
1
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
16
7
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
19
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
16
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
25
13
Turnover EPA / Game
15
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
9
4th Down Efficiency
4
7
RZ Efficiency
2
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
2-7-1
O/U
Broncos
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U