SEASeahawks
4-1
32
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
20 mph
28
CLEBrowns
2-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
6
12
7
7
32
Browns
14
6
0
8
28
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
408
Total Plays
75
61
Yards / Play
6.1
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.03
Passing Yards
284
--
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.53
-0.15
Rushing Yards
170
157
Rush Attempts
39
24
Yards / Rush
4.4
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
21
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
46%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
8
Red Zone %
57%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
7
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.24
-16.69
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-3.53
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
65
83
Penalty EPA
-7.73
-9.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+1
Home nfelo
1,497
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+101.6
Base HFA
+53.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+18.8
Time Adj
+28.9
Net QB Adjustment
-49.4
Home QB Adjustment
-23.4
Away QB Adjustment
+26.0
Market Regression
+16.0
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+26.0
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-23.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
6
21
Passing Yards / Game
10
10
Rushing Yards / Game
6
29
EPA
EPA / Play
9
20
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
19
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
17
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
31
25
Turnover EPA / Game
20
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
4
RZ Efficiency
7
20
Browns Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
7
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
17
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
9
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
20
RZ Efficiency
13
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U