SEASeahawks
2-1
27
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
010
ARICardinals
0-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
4
10
0
7
21
Cardinals
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
-5.5
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
321
Total Plays
59
59
Yards / Play
5.8
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.25
Passing Yards
225
206
Comp/Att
22/28(79%)
22/32(69%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.26
Rushing Yards
115
115
Rush Attempts
27
23
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
9
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.51
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-15
-35
Sack EPA
-6.95
-7.28
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
65
44
Penalty EPA
-6.37
-6.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-142
Home nfelo
1,355
Away nfelo
1,537
Home Field
+60.3
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
+10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-20.0
Home QB Adjustment
+3.3
Away QB Adjustment
+23.3
Market Regression
-19.2
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.3
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+3.3
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
6
32
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
23
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
7
30
EPA / Rush
19
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
6
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
7
22
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
19
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
22
7
Rushing Yards / Game
10
22
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
19
18
EPA / Rush
5
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
16
9
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
20
RZ Efficiency
30
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U
Cardinals
1-8-1
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U